San Diego State vs Boise State 11/3/2012

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 87% of simulations over San Diego State. Joe Southwick is averaging 281 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and D.J. Harper is projected for 95 rushing yards and a 75% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13% of simulations where San Diego State wins, Adam Dingwell averages 1.58 TD passes vs 0.86 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.77 TDs to 1.16 interceptions. Adam Muema averages 72 rushing yards and 0.81 rushing TDs when San Diego State wins and 65 yards and 0.43 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 49% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -16
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